Incentive Contract and Weather Risk

We study contracts designed to remunerate a farmer for the production of an ecosystem service with the payment dependent on the results of the farmer’s actions and on weather conditions. Two contracts are proposed: the first takes into account both the results of the farmer’s actions and a weather variable that reflects the actual atmospheric conditions during the life of the contract; the second bases the payment on the results alone incorporating only the average effect of weather. Social welfare is optimal when both the results and the specific atmospheric conditions are taken into account; however, this type of contract may be less acceptable to the farmer due to his perception of the level of risk involved.We thank two referees for valuable comments.     

中国证券市场价格波动与宏观经济协同性的实证研究

理论上，证券市场常被称为国民经济的“晴雨表”。本文选取工业增加值、广义货币供应量（M2）、消费者景气指数和国房景气指数等宏观经济指标，深入考察了宏观经济与沪深两市股价走势之间的关系。结果表明，在样本期内股价指数波动与宏观经济变量之间不存在协整性特征，中国证券市场与国民经济之间尚未呈现出稳定的长期均衡关系，证券市场并未发挥“国民经济晴雨表”的功能。这也表明，中国证券市场的宏观协调效率还有待于进一步提高。     

Weather derivatives structuring and pricing: a sustainable agricultural approach in Africa

The objective of this article is to calculate the price of weather derivatives for different African countries with payout depending on temperature. A new approach for computing degree day contracts is shown and gives another scale to the numerical relevance and practical implementation of the findings. With historical data for each country, a stochastic process based on continuous time with mean reversion representing the evolution of the temperature is determined. Focusing on the Monte Carlo simulation method, the price of each contract and the potential implications to solve several aspects of the threatened African economy are presented.     

雷达测距系统中高精度相位测试方法的研究

针对雷达测距系统中对相位测量的高精度要求 ,本文介绍了一种高精度相位测量方法的原理 ,给出了具体的硬件实现方法 ,最后给出了测试结果 ,并提出了改进的措施     

一种应用于旁瓣对消系统的MGS算法

本文论述相控阵雷达的一种自适应波束形成算法，分析了基于Ｓｙｓｔｏｌｉｃ结构的ＳＬＣ系统的ＭＧＳ算法，分析和计算机模拟结果表明，在ＳＬＣ系统中ＭＧＳ算法在抑制干扰方面是有效的。     

新疆人影作业点标准化建设中监控系统的设计

本文根据新疆人影作业点标准化建设的需求,参照《安全防范工程技术规范》等相关国标及部标,相关规定等,提出一套采用计算机多媒体技术、音视频技术、现代通信技术、自动控制技术等,形成的多功能、综合性的智能化监控系统方案。     

Mood and Judgment of Subjective Probabilities: Evidence from the U.S. Index Option Market

Numerous psychological studies show that weather conditions affect people'smood and that mood states are correlated with people's subjective evaluationof future probabilities. In this paper, a new approach is developed and assetmarket data are employed to test the mood-subjective probability relation. Cloudcover and precipitation volume serve as two mood proxies. Our statistical analysissuggests that bad mood states are characterized by investors placing higher probabilitieson adverse events.     

飞行器部件低散射载体的分析与设计

降低弱散射源的雷达散射截面,增强飞行器部件的隐身性能至关重要。但部件脱离飞行器后,需依托载体才能得到准确的隐身性能。通过探究低散射载体设计机理和思路,考虑爬行波、行波、入射频率等影响因素,设计了一款低散射载体。通过理论建模、特征基函数法仿真计算和试验测试方法验证,所设计的低散射载体的雷达散射截面足够低,可有效消除弱散射源以外的其他杂波散射影响,还原部件真实状态,有利于提升弱散射源隐身性能评估的准确性,从而优化飞行器隐身设计。     

海浪谱的选择对海面电磁波散射建模的影响

海浪谱的选择对Bragg共振散射建模的影响是海面电磁波散射建模的关键问题。首先简介了 海浪谱的概念,然后选择RA（Romeiser-Alpers）谱 进行了Bragg共振散射建模,最后选择另一种具有代表性的PM（Pierson-Moskowitz）谱进 行了Bragg共振散射建模,并通过仿真实验对两种海浪谱及其用于Bragg共振散射建模的效果 进行了比较分析。获得的结论对合理地选择海浪谱具有指导意义。     

基于运动干扰机的合成孔径雷达二维移频压制干扰

为了给移动或分布式目标提供有效的保护,提出了一种基于运动干扰机的SAR二维移 频压制干扰方法。在波束照射范围内,运动干扰机在待保护目标附近截获SAR发射信号,并 根据目标在距离向的范围与位置对其调制一个线性调频信号后转发。根据Range-Doppler算 法,推导了距离向失配干扰信号脉冲压缩输出的主瓣位置、幅度以及宽度;分析了由于 干扰机的运动导致的方位向调制信号,给出了干扰机起始位置、运动速度与方位向脉冲压缩 输出主瓣位置、幅度以及主瓣展宽量的关系。理论研究表明,干扰信号能够在SAR图像中形 成面状压制区,可以实现对移动或分布式目标的有效保护。仿真实验验证了该方法的有效性。